Why Your Best Strategy Breaks Down in Real Time
🧠 Why do the best trading strategies fail in real-time?
Tom Hougaard breaks it down: that perfect trendline you spotted in your backtest might become your worst enemy when the market opens. It’s called apophenia—seeing patterns that aren’t really there—and it tricks even the smartest traders.
In this powerful clip, Tom explains how chart deception works, why paper strategies often fail in real-time, and what separates the 90% who lose from the 10% who adapt.
If you want to stop falling for false signals and start thinking like a pro, this video is for you.
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so it's not such a long stretch for us
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when we get engaged with technical
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analysis that we begin to connect one
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high with a secondary high and a third
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higher and we extrapolate a line out in
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the future and we call that a trend line
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and when a trend line has been broken we
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get a signal and it's a thing of beauty
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because hey it looks so easy when we are
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sitting doing our research but the
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deception of charts what we call
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apophenia is playing a trick with us
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meaning that we will gladly omit this
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trend line break yet when we are trading
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it in real time all of a sudden we're
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seeing this trend line break and so we
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are surprised when this happens because
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during our research it looked like this
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there was a trend line break and the
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market stormed higher and we were on
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board and now I'm trading it and it's
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not storming higher in fact it's trading
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lower and lower in this case you
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actually do get Saved by the Bell but
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many of good strategies has been created
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on paper that are completely impossible
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to implement in real time
