Previsões de Bitcoin São Apenas Viés Disfarçado

🎯 As previsões de Bitcoin são apenas reflexo de viés?

Previsões de Bitcoin São Apenas Viés Disfarçado

Neste vídeo, Tom Hougaard explica por que previsões de mercado, incluindo sobre Bitcoin, geralmente são enviesadas e como isso afeta a forma como traders tomam decisões. Se você já se perguntou para onde o mercado está indo, este vídeo vai mudar sua perspectiva!

👉 Pontos Principais:

Por que previsões de mercado não são confiáveis
O impacto do viés nas opiniões dos traders
Reflexões de Tom sobre a psicologia por trás das análises
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Legenda:

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But it’s really not so interesting to know whether 
this is a winning trade or losing trade. Maybe I’m  

00:00:05,560 --> 00:00:10,520
right. Maybe I am wrong. It really does depend 
on how many traders out there agree with me, and  

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they back up my trade as well by being buyers when 
I’m buying or being sellers as I am selling. So,  

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since I have no knowledge of the future, whenever 
people ask me, “Where do you think gold is going?”

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“Where do you think so and so is going?” 
I say, ”You know what? Come back to me  

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next week. My crystal ball is out for repair.” 
It’s a facetious way of telling people to stop  

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bugging me about where I think the market 
is going, because I am not Nostradamus. I  

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have absolutely no idea. And anyone who says 
they think the market is going this way or  

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that way is saying so because they have a vested 
interest or a bias towards a direction or another.

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And that’s quite fair. If you’re long bitcoin, 
of course, you’re going to say that Bitcoin is  

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going to go up, and you think it’s going to 
go up. You wouldn’t say, “I think Bitcoin  

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is going down,” and then you’re long Bitcoin. 
The opinion is biased from their own position.


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