Previsões de Bitcoin São Apenas Viés Disfarçado
🎯 As previsões de Bitcoin são apenas reflexo de viés?
Neste vídeo, Tom Hougaard explica por que previsões de mercado, incluindo sobre Bitcoin, geralmente são enviesadas e como isso afeta a forma como traders tomam decisões. Se você já se perguntou para onde o mercado está indo, este vídeo vai mudar sua perspectiva!
👉 Pontos Principais:
Por que previsões de mercado não são confiáveis
O impacto do viés nas opiniões dos traders
Reflexões de Tom sobre a psicologia por trás das análises
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But it’s really not so interesting to know whether
this is a winning trade or losing trade. Maybe I’m
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right. Maybe I am wrong. It really does depend
on how many traders out there agree with me, and
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they back up my trade as well by being buyers when
I’m buying or being sellers as I am selling. So,
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since I have no knowledge of the future, whenever
people ask me, “Where do you think gold is going?”
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“Where do you think so and so is going?”
I say, ”You know what? Come back to me
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next week. My crystal ball is out for repair.”
It’s a facetious way of telling people to stop
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bugging me about where I think the market
is going, because I am not Nostradamus. I
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have absolutely no idea. And anyone who says
they think the market is going this way or
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that way is saying so because they have a vested
interest or a bias towards a direction or another.
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And that’s quite fair. If you’re long bitcoin,
of course, you’re going to say that Bitcoin is
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going to go up, and you think it’s going to
go up. You wouldn’t say, “I think Bitcoin
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is going down,” and then you’re long Bitcoin.
The opinion is biased from their own position.